Kurdish-led SDF has dissolved, but has Syria really unified its military?

Tuesday's announcement that the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces had dissolved, with its forces merging with the Syrian military, represents a boost for a administration seeking to demonstrate that it has sole authority over the country.

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Kurdish-led SDF has dissolved, but has Syria really unified its military?

Tuesday's announcement that the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces had dissolved, with its forces merging with the Syrian military, represents a boost for a administration seeking to demonstrate that it has sole authority over the country.

Article outline

  1. What happened
  2. Official response
  3. The key numbers
  4. Background
  5. Why it matters
  6. The bottom line

Key points

  • The SDF, which emerged in 2015, has been based in the country's northeast, where much of Syria's historically marginalised Kurdish population lives.
  • Initially, the SDF had held solid reservations over giving up its arms and coming under the command of Syria's Ministry of Defence.
  • There is additionally probable to be some apprehension from Syrian Kurds, with a deadly war still recent in their memories, and some mistrust towards Syria's administration.
  • "Many Arab communities may welcome the return of the central institution, while Kurdish communities are likely to be more cautious, " Saban remarked.
  • There have been particular disagreements over the SDF's Women Protection Units, additionally known as the YPJ.

And yet, analysts have informed Al Jazeera, the finer details of military integration remain, indicating that the divisions that have beset Syria over almost 14 years of war, and then in the 20 months since the fall of the al-Assad regime, have not been totally eradicated.

Notably, the SDF, which emerged in 2015, has been based in the country's northeast, where much of Syria's historically marginalised Kurdish population lives.

Despite months of discussions, the SDF had been unwilling to provide up on the autonomy it had gained during Syria's war, but on Tuesday the group's leader Mazloum Abdi (additionally known as Mazloum Kobani) remarked that an "important page" had been turned in the country's history.

"We want this day to be the beginning of a true transition from the battlefields to the fields of construction, and from the era of weapons to the era of peace, " Abdi remarked from the presidential palace in Damascus.

Initially, the SDF had held solid reservations over giving up its arms and coming under the command of Syria's Ministry of Defence. But a government-led offensive into the northeast in January, along with good relations between the Syrian administration and the United States – the SDF's main backer – has shifted the balance of power.

Rob Geist Pinfold, a lecturer on security studies at King's College London, informed Al Jazeera that the SDF's dissolution "is part of an ongoing trend of the SDF losing its leverage in Syria, simply because the US has signalled that no longer has protected status from the US".

In practice, the SDF's dissolution means that "the largest organised military force outside Damascus's authority has ended its independent existence, allowing the state to begin the process of restoring a single military command and unified control over the border, airports, and strategic resources", remarked Navvar Saban, a researcher in security and military affairs at the Arab Center for Contemporary Syrian Studies.

But, Saban continued, the process of integration will take more than an announcement in Damascus.

"The agreement may end Syria's military division, but inclusive institutions and a single national chain of command are what will make the unity sustainable and effective, " Saban remarked.

According to Saban, SDF military fighters are being incorporated into the Syrian army under the command of the Defence Ministry, while the Asayish – the SDF's affiliated security forces – and other local security bodies are being integrated into the Ministry of Interior. Civilian institutions and employees are additionally being transferred to relevant ministries.

"The formal merge has been completed, but creating a unified military culture and chain of command will take much longer, " he remarked.

There is additionally probable to be some apprehension from Syrian Kurds, with a deadly war still recent in their memories, and some mistrust towards Syria's administration. The administration is led by figures formerly associated with now-disbanded rebel groups, including Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham, whose predecessor, al-Nusra Front, was once affiliated with al-Qaeda. Plenty of of the former rebel groups had additionally fought the SDF. It was accused of cooperating with the al-Assad regime at times.

"Many Arab communities may welcome the return of the central institution, while Kurdish communities are likely to be more cautious, " Saban remarked. "They want peace. But they additionally need guarantees concerning the Kurdish language, education, political representation, and local security."

Syria's President Ahmed al-Sharaa has created efforts since assuming power after al-Assad's fall to assuage Kurdish reservations, repeatedly pledging constitutional protection for Kurdish language and political rights, but insisting on integration into the wider Syrian state.

"This is an agreement that comes on the government's terms, but it's likely that US pressure behind the scenes meant that the capitulated to at least some of the remaining demands from the SDF, " Geist Pinfold remarked.

There have been particular disagreements over the SDF's Women Protection Units, additionally known as the YPJ. Earlier this month, SDF senior official Abdulkarim Omar informed Al Jazeera that the YPJ wanted to join the Defence Ministry, but had instead been informed by the Syrian administration that the army's existing structure did not include units for women.

For context, the administration had instead suggested the YPJ be integrated into the Interior Ministry. According to Omar, the YPJ had countered that it could join the Interior Ministry as a specialised counterterrorism unit.

No final decision has been confirmed, but Alexander McKeever, author of the newsletter This Week in Northern Syria, stated that this represented "a significant compromise for the government". It had previously rejected women in combat or heavy security roles.

Nevertheless, McKeever, speaking from Qamishli in northeast Syria, stated that there were still general disagreements over the larger integration process, including which fighters would join administration forces, where they would be deployed, and what their roles would be.

McKeever remarked the question of chain of command – whether fighters will directly report to Damascus or to more local command – is still unanswered.

Taken together, the developments around kurdish-led SDF has dissolved, but has Syria really unified its military? Point to a situation that is still moving, and the coming days should bring more clarity.

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