Full list of seats Labour could lose in London to Reform, Tory and Green surge, according to new poll
Full list of seats Labour could lose in London to Reform, Tory and Green surge, according to new poll City's political map set to be transformed by fragmentation of British politics.
Full list of seats Labour could lose in London to Reform, Tory and Green surge, according to new poll City's political map set to be transformed by fragmentation of British politics.
Article outline
- What happened
- The key numbers
- Why it matters
- What comes next
- The bottom line
Key points
- * Savanta interviewed 1, 036 Londoners aged 18+ online between 10th and 17th August 2026.
- Nigel Farage's party and the Tories are tied on 18%, with Zack Polanski's Greens on 16%, Liberal Democrats 10% and independents and others 6%.
- It put Labour on 32% in the capital for voting intention for Parliament, down 11 percentage points since the July 2024 general election.
- Nigel Farage, Kemi Badenoch and Zack Polanski are seeking to win seats from Labour in London.
- With these caveats, here is what could happen in London at the next general election, projected in 2029.
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Labour risks losing up to 18 seats in London at the next general election, according to a new poll.
In practice, the Savanta survey for The Mile End Institute, Queen Mary University of London, suggested the Conservatives could win eight seats from Labour, the Green Party four, Reform UK three, and independents three.
As more Londoners have turned to Reform, the Greens and independents, the fragmentation of politics in the city makes calling individual constituencies increasingly tough.
Dr Eoghan Kelly, a postdoctoral researcher in British Politics at QMUL who compiled the seat analysis based on the Savanta poll, additionally stressed that the margin of victories in numerous of these seats are probable to be small so Labour could retain a significant number of them.
Andy Burnham may additionally boost Labour's standing in the capital if he can successfully deliver his radical aims for Britain without harming London.
* Savanta interviewed 1, 036 Londoners aged 18+ online between 10th and 17th August 2026. Data are weighted.
In short, full list of seats Labour could lose in London to Reform, Tory is the central thread here, and readers can expect follow-up reporting as the picture becomes clearer.
