Investors dump India bonds after hawkish RBI minutes

Investors dump India bonds after hawkish RBI minutes The yield on ⁠the benchmark 6.94% 2036 bond climbed 5 basis points to 6.8709%, its highest since June 15.

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Investors dump India bonds after hawkish RBI minutes The yield on ⁠the benchmark 6.94% 2036 bond climbed 5 basis points to 6.8709%, its highest since June 15.

Article outline

  1. What happened
  2. The key numbers
  3. The details
  4. The bottom line

Key points

  • The yield on ⁠the benchmark 6.94% 2036 bond climbed 5 basis points to 6.8709%, its highest since June 15.
  • According to Governor Sanjay ⁠Malhotra, evidence of such spillovers could warrant "policy tightening." The comments accelerated the bond selloff by reviving expectations of higher borrowing costs.
  • The MPC minutes indicated a ‌path being built to eventual hikes, Tanay Dalal, economist at Axis Bank, stated.
  • We continue to see hikes to a 6% neutral, with room for an October move ‌opening.

Meanwhile, a hawkish tone in the Reserve Bank of India's policy minutes jolted domestic bonds on Thursday (August 20, 2026), compounding pressure from ‌rising oil rates and knocking the liquid 10-year benchmark to a two-month low.

In practice, the yield on ⁠the benchmark 6.94% 2036 bond climbed 5 basis points to 6.8709%, its highest since June 15. Bond yields move inversely to ‌rates.

RBI minutes published on Wednesday demonstrated policymakers were more prepared to raise rates if inflation ‌risks materialise, with reservations mounting over higher food, fuel ‌and ⁠input costs feeding into broader rate pressures.

In practice, the MPC minutes indicated a ‌path being built to eventual hikes, Tanay Dalal, economist at Axis Bank, stated.

"We continue to see hikes to a 6% neutral, with room for an October move ‌opening. Nevertheless, a December hike is far more probable, " Mr. Dalal continued.

Taken together, the developments around investors dump India bonds after hawkish RBI minutes point to a situation that is still moving, and the coming days should bring more clarity.

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