Israel's election deadlock is a sign of the country's deep divisions
Diplomatic correspondent, Reporting fromJerusalem.
Diplomatic correspondent, Reporting fromJerusalem.
Article outline
- What happened
- The key numbers
- Official response
- Reaction
- Why it matters
- The bottom line
Key points
- There were additionally divisions over how to respond to the deadly 7 October 2023 attacks – whether to save hostages or destroy Hamas.
- Some 10% of voters backed the Jewish supremacist far-right: politicians like Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich.
- "Democracy is the worst form of government except for all those other forms that have been tried." So remarked Winston Churchill in the House of Commons in 1947.
- President Isaac Herzog remarked the election was a "badge of honour" for Israeli society.
- Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party suffered significant losses, but is still on track to be the largest in the Knesset.
His aphorism came to mind as Israel's election results filtered through on Tuesday night – exit polls blending with ballots that were cast to dash or fulfil people's hopes and fears.
This election has, in some ways, been a celebration of democracy. Voters turning out in record numbers, Jews and Arabs alike. Plenty of spent thousands to fly in from abroad to cast their ballot.
As they applied every minute to try to change that last mind and win that last vote, at polling stations nationwide, we saw the passion of campaigners.
President Isaac Herzog remarked the election was a "badge of honour" for Israeli society. "It is remarkable to see how deep the desire for democracy is in Israel, " he exclaimed.
Yet this election left the most established democracy in the Middle East without a clear path to a new administration. It produced an inconclusive result where neither opposing bloc will have a majority in parliament. Some might say this was business as usual.
Israel has never had a one-party administration. Its fragmented, proportional representation system is almost designed to govern by coalition.
Yet plenty of commentators cautioned this election had made public the fundamental and perhaps growing divisions that scar this nation. This was not a plebiscite in which an electorate united around a single cause.
Some of these fissures are not new. There were divisions over judicial reforms that led to mass demonstrations in the early years of this administration.
There were additionally divisions over how to respond to the deadly 7 October 2023 attacks – whether to save hostages or destroy Hamas. The casualties suffered by Israeli reservists in the fighting in Gaza that followed deepened tensions over the exemption of ultra-Orthodox young men from military service.
But has this election put in even sharper contrast the deep fault-lines that lie within Israeli society?
There are the tensions between the religious and the secular, divides not just of faith but of society.
Should Israel's administration subsidise religious study? Should some parents sacrifice their sons and daughters to defend Israel when others do not? The ultra-Orthodox now create up almost 15% of the population. Their world-view is poles apart from that of denizens of high-tech, modern neighbourhoods of Tel Aviv. There are divisions over fundamental politics.
Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party suffered significant losses, but is still on track to be the largest in the Knesset. All this for a prime minister accused of corruption. It he denies; a leader additionally accused of failing to protect Israel before 7 October, something he will not allow to be investigated.
Some 10% of voters backed the Jewish supremacist far-right: politicians like Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich. This person even as results were being confirmed was promising to establish Jewish settlements in Gaza.
In practice, the Arab parties, which represent regarding a fifth of Israeli citizens, produced massive gains, winning some 15% of the vote, potentially giving them seats numbering in the high teens.
And then there was the opposition bloc, a mix of centre, left and right led by Gadi Eisenkot who fell short of winning the change they wanted – change that plenty of believed was existential for the future of this country.
How these vastly diverging views coalesce into some form of administration is now the unenviable task facing Israel's body politic – the choices and compromises they may have to produce could involve fundamental decisions regarding the country's future.
Would Netanyahu be ready to abandon his religious allies and form a coalition with right-wingers from the opposition bloc? Would they be ready to swallow their hostility towards the prime minister and sit in his administration?
Is the opposition bloc ready to abandon much of its campaign promises and co-operate with Arab parties to force Netanyahu out of office? Are the Arab parties ready to risk joining a administration that could fall within months?
Yair Golan, the left-wing Democrat leader, pressed the opposition bloc to form a partnership with Arab parties. "We must no longer accept Netanyahu's racist division between Jewish votes and Arab votes, " he remarked. But are the individuals of Israel ready for such a reality?
Amit Segal, an Israeli commentator sympathetic towards Netanyahu, remarked the high turnout among Arab Israeli voters "reminded Jews on both sides that, after years of division, they may have to learn to sit together after all".
In practice, the risk is that this election, instead of putting Israel on a new path, has instead raised further doubts regarding what it is that unites its citizens. What are the common factors that bind this complex, varied collection of peoples into one polity?
Autocratic governments, which are growing in number, have long criticised democracies for producing subdued and temporary governments, often fragile coalitions that struggle to hold together, let alone deliver what the residents wanted.
Israel may now struggle for months to form a administration. It might even fail and have to hold another election.
President Herzog acknowledged this risk head on as he prepared to open coalition negotiations: "We must do everything we can, certainly after yesterday, to avoid another round of elections."
For years, Israel has focused on defending itself against its external enemies. But must it additionally now be ready to defend itself from perils within, if the divisions writ substantial by this election become unmanageable?
In another speech, Churchill once remarked democracy was not just "insurance against dangers from abroad". It was additionally, he went on, "insurance against dangers scarcely less grave and much more near and constant which threaten us here at home". Can Israel's democracy live up to this challenge?
For now, israel' s election deadlock is a sign of the country' s deep divisions remains the part of the story worth watching, and further updates are likely as more details are confirmed.


