'World in danger zone': UN says El Nino likely to intensify, may become strongest ever recorded

'World in danger zone': UN notes El Nino probable to intensify, may become strongest ever recorded.

Key points

• The powerful 2023-24 El Nino contributed to 2024 being the warmest year on record, and "we should not be surprised if this record is broken", Saulo continued.
• Weekly values between late July and mid-August ranged from around 2.2 degrees Celsius to 2.6 degrees Celsius above average, indicating continued El Nino intensification.
• The WMO remarked there was an "exceptionally high likelihood of nearly 100 per cent" that El Nino will continue through to February.
• El Nino will peak towards the end of this year – though its knock-on impacts for the climate will continue well into 2027, remarked the WMO.
• In some areas, subsurface ocean temperatures were more than 8 degrees Celsius above average during July and early August.

'World in danger zone': UN notes El Nino probable to intensify, may become strongest ever recorded. AFP Published September 3, 2026 Updated September 3, 2026 02: 46pm. Join our Whatsapp Channel. Add Dawn as a trusted source.

El Nino could be the strongest since records began four decades ago, the United Nations' climate agency cautioned on Thursday, with the UN chief warning the world is in the "danger zone of extreme weather".

Notably, the naturally-occurring weather phenomenon is due to become "very strong" in the months ahead and is near certain to persist through to February, the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) remarked.

El Nino warms surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, bringing worldwide changes in winds, pressure and rainfall patterns.

"If this trajectory continues, it may be stronger than anything since our monitoring began – so literally off the charts we have used for the past four decades, " WMO chief Celeste Saulo remarked to journalists in Geneva.

Heat in the oceans releases more gradually into the atmosphere, pushing up global temperatures the after year.

Meanwhile, the powerful 2023-24 El Nino contributed to 2024 being the warmest year on record, and "we should not be surprised if this record is broken", Saulo continued.

"El Nino is firmly established and will intensify into a very strong event in the coming months, with big impacts on rainfall and temperature patterns and associated risks of floods, drought and extreme heat, " the WMO remarked.

El Nino is a natural climate phenomenon and is not caused by climate change.

While amping-up weather extremes, but scientists expect it will exacerbate the heat of a planet already warming from burning fossil fuels.

"El Nino is being supersized before our eyes, " remarked UN chief Antonio Guterres.

The science leaves no room for doubt: the planet is in uncharted waters, and those waters are heating up. Sea surface temperatures are rising, temperatures keep climbing, and the world is in the danger zone of extreme weather.

"The race now is between rising risks and our commitment to take climate action and protect individuals. We must win that race." 'Massive blow' to economies.

"This exceptional El Nino. Has the potential to deliver a massive blow to communities and economies across the world", remarked Saulo.

"We are already seeing disruption and devastation from droughts and floods, and we expect these impacts to increase as El Nino intensifies."

She put disaster management authorities and climate-sensitive sectors like agriculture, health, energy and water on notice, saying there was "no time to lose" in getting ready.

El Nino typically takes place every two to seven years and lasts around nine to 12 months.

Conditions oscillate between El Nino and its opposite La Nina, with neutral conditions in between.

"Fuelled by exceptionally warm ocean conditions across the tropical Pacific, El Nino is expected to strengthen further during the coming months to a very strong intensity, " the WMO remarked.

Meanwhile, the UN agency classifies El Nino events as subdued, moderate, robust or particularly robust – meaning it is due to reach the highest level out of four.

Notably, the WMO remarked there was an "exceptionally high likelihood of nearly 100 per cent" that El Nino will continue through to February. Pacific Ocean heating up.

El Nino can reshape weather and climate patterns thousands of kilometres away from the tropical Pacific.

Every El Nino is different, but major events often follow familiar patterns. This includes drought throughout parts of the Amazon, Indonesia and Australia, disrupted monsoons in India, and shifting rainfall throughout the tropics.

For September-November, WMO forecasts indicate an rose likelihood of above-normal temperatures "across almost all land areas", alongside rainfall patterns showing a "pronounced and classic atmospheric response to the strong Pacific El Nino", the UN's weather and climate agency stated.

Meanwhile, the index that measures sea surface temperature anomalies in the central eastern equatorial Pacific has strengthened from an average 1.5 degrees Celcius above normal between May and July.

In some areas, subsurface ocean temperatures were more than 8 degrees Celsius above average during July and early August. Join DawnMedia's Breathe Pakistan initiative to combat climate change.

In short, ' World in danger zone' : UN says El Nino likely to intensify, may is the central thread here, and readers can expect follow-up reporting as the picture becomes clearer.